Treasury Cash at the Fed Tops $967 Billion as Bank Reserves Hit 39-Week Low

Treasury held $967.9 billion at the Fed in the week ended September 2, a four month high, pulling bank reserves to $2.895 trillion, their lowest in 39 weeks.

Treasury held $967.9 billion at the Fed in the week ended September 2, a four month high, pulling bank reserves to $2.895 trillion, their lowest in 39 weeks.

U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August and the BLS revised June and July up by a combined 55,000, erasing the reported July decline days before the September 15-16 FOMC meeting.

US federal debt closed August at $40.18 trillion, up $404.02 billion from July 31, the largest single-month rise of fiscal 2026 and the first month-end close above $40T.

Treasury sold $44 billion of seven-year notes at 4.512% on August 27, the highest stop for the maturity since December 2024, as indirect bidders pulled back.

Real consumer spending was flat in July as goods outlays fell $49.9 billion and services rose $86.2 billion, with core PCE inflation stuck at 3.3%.

Treasury's average interest rate on all federal debt reached 3.447% on July 31, the highest since June 2009, as low-coupon notes mature into yields above 4%.

Treasury reopened the February 2056 TIPS on August 20, 2026 at a 2.973 percent real yield, the highest at a 30-year inflation-protected auction since October 2001.

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.31% on August 17, the highest since June 2007. Prime held at 6.75% and federal debt neared $40 trillion.

U.S. retail and food services sales fell 0.6 percent in July to $763.6 billion, the largest monthly decline since May 2025, weakening the case for a September Fed rate increase.

Treasury sold $58 billion of three-year notes at a 4.291 percent high yield on August 11, the highest since February 2025, yet demand was the strongest in nine months.