Fed Holds Prime Rate at 7.00% as Cook and Hammack Dissent for a Hike

The Federal Open Market Committee held its target range at 3.75% to 4.00% on October 28, 2026, keeping the prime rate at 7.00%. Cook and Hammack dissented for a quarter point hike.

The Federal Open Market Committee held its target range at 3.75% to 4.00% on October 28, 2026, keeping the prime rate at 7.00%. Cook and Hammack dissented for a quarter point hike.

The Fed opens a two-day meeting Tuesday. 94 of 100 economists surveyed by Reuters expect a hold at 3.75% to 4.00%, keeping the prime rate at 7.00% into December.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell 17 basis points to 4.96% on October 22, its largest one-day drop since August 2024 and its first close below 5% in a month.

Treasury auctions $13 billion of the 5-1/8% bond due August 2046 on October 21, with the 20-year yielding 5.53% against 5.48% at 30 years.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to signal the October 28 vote during Friday remarks in Bangkok, his last comments before the FOMC communications blackout began October 17.

Federal Reserve Board minutes show Reserve Bank requests for a 4.00% discount rate grew from two banks in August to seven by the September 16 meeting.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said 16 of 18 officials who filed September projections expect another 2026 rate increase, and that the hikes need not come at back to back meetings.

Minutes of the September FOMC meeting show a unanimous 12 to 0 vote to raise rates and most officials expecting one more increase before the end of 2026.

Every Treasury maturity from three years out to 30 years closed at or above 5.00% on September 28, 2026, the first time since July 2007. The 10-year reached 5.24%.

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.47 percent on September 24, the highest since June 2004, as real yields rather than inflation expectations drove the selloff.