National Debt Ends June at Record $39.46 Trillion, $40 Trillion Now in Sight

The national debt closed June at a record $39.46 trillion after a $117 billion one-day jump, putting the $40 trillion mark within reach as soon as this fall.

The national debt closed June at a record $39.46 trillion after a $117 billion one-day jump, putting the $40 trillion mark within reach as soon as this fall.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh made his first major international appearance at the ECB's Sintra forum, keeping the U.S. prime rate at 6.75% with a hawkish inflation message.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose in May, with headline PCE at 4.1% and core at 3.4%, the highest in years, reinforcing a hawkish hold and a steady 6.75% prime rate.

The U.S. yield curve turned positive again in June 2026 after the long 2022 to 2024 inversion. Here is what an inversion signals and where the curve stands now.

Who holds the $39 trillion U.S. national debt in 2026? Foreign investors own $9.35T led by Japan, the Fed holds about $4.4T, and federal trust funds hold $7.64T.

U.S. employers added 172,000 jobs in May 2026 and unemployment held at 4.3 percent, reinforcing a June Federal Reserve hold and keeping the prime rate at 6.75 percent.

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.5% as an oil spike pushed markets to price an 85% chance of a 2026 Fed rate hike, even as the prime rate held at 6.75%.

Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman defended keeping rate cuts on the table in a May 29 speech, urging the Committee to look past oil-driven inflation before the June 16-17 FOMC.

April PCE inflation rose to 3.8% year over year as core held at 3.3%, cementing a June Fed hold and keeping the prime rate at 6.75%. Here is what it means for your money.

Markets currently price approximately a 36% probability of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut at the June 16–17, 2026 FOMC meeting, according to CME FedWatch — which means the base case is that rates stay unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%…