
Final Hour Before the Fed: What Markets Are Telling Us About Tomorrow’s Decision
Markets head into Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision with a near-100% probability priced for a hold at 3.50%–3.75% (CME FedWatch shows 100% at the time of
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Markets head into Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision with a near-100% probability priced for a hold at 3.50%–3.75% (CME FedWatch shows 100% at the time of

The Department of Justice closed its investigation into the Federal Reserve’s Eccles Building renovations last week, removing the procedural obstacle that Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC)

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran has now dissented at five consecutive FOMC meetings — September 2025, October 2025, December 2025, January 2026, and March 2026

Markets price a 99.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates at 3.50%–3.75% on April 29, 2026 — meaning for most household financial decisions,

Markets currently price approximately a 36% probability of a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut at the June 16–17, 2026 FOMC meeting, according to

Update — April 27, 2026 The DOJ closed its investigation into the Federal Reserve’s Eccles Building renovations last week, removing the procedural obstacle Sen. Tillis
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