
Oil Above $100 Drives Treasury Yields to 2025 Highs, Lifting Fed Hike Bets
Brent crude topped $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest since January 2025, lifting September Fed rate-hike odds to about 82% as prime holds at 6.75%.
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Brent crude topped $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest since January 2025, lifting September Fed rate-hike odds to about 82% as prime holds at 6.75%.

Treasury’s 20-year bond auction stopped at 5.163% on July 22, 2026, the highest of the year and up from 4.927% in June, days before the July 29 Fed decision.

The average interest rate on U.S. Treasury debt climbed to 3.41% in June 2026, the highest since 2009, pushing gross interest costs past $1.05 trillion this fiscal year.

The 10-year Treasury yield settled at 4.55% on July 17, 2026. Here is what the benchmark is, what moves it, and how it sets your mortgage and loan rates.

Most U.S. credit cards carry a variable APR tied to the 6.75% prime rate. Here is how a Fed decision reaches your statement and what a July 29 hold means.

The Fed entered its communications blackout ahead of the July 28 to 29 meeting, with markets pricing about an 87% chance of a rate hold at 3.50% to 3.75% on July 29.
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