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U.S. Interest Rates Guide

Federal Funds Rate, Prime Rate, Treasury Yields & More

JW
Jim Wang
Financial Writer
|  Reviewed by Offain Gunasekara  |  Last Updated: April 3, 2026 March 2026

Prime Rate Dashboard — May 7, 2026

Today’s Snapshot

Prime Rate

6.75%

as of 4/30/2026

Fed Funds Target

3.50–3.75%

as of 5/7/2026

EFFR

3.64%

as of 5/6/2026

2Y Treasury

3.93%

as of 5/5/2026

10Y Treasury

4.43%

as of 5/5/2026

30Y Treasury

4.98%

as of 5/5/2026

30Y Mortgage

6.30%

PMMS 4/30/2026

SOFR

3.61%

as of 5/6/2026

10s–2s Spread

+0.50 pp

as of 5/5/2026

Data sources: Federal Reserve (FRED), U.S. Treasury, Freddie Mac PMMS · Next FOMC: June 16–17, 2026

Year-Over-Year Movement

Prime

6.75% ← 7.50%

−0.75 pp

2Y Treasury

3.93% ← 3.78%

+0.15 pp

10Y Treasury

4.43% ← 4.26%

+0.17 pp

30Y Treasury

4.98% ← 4.77%

+0.21 pp

30Y Mortgage

6.30% ← 6.76%

−0.46 pp

Key Takeaways

  • Federal funds rate: 3.50%–3.75% target range, held steady at the March 2026 FOMC meeting
  • Prime rate: 6.75% (= fed funds upper bound 3.75% + 3.00%), effective since December 11, 2025
  • Treasury yields: 10-year at 4.33%, 30-year at 4.89%, 2-year at 3.84% (as of April 1, 2026)
  • SOFR: 3.64%, the overnight benchmark that replaced LIBOR for adjustable-rate loans
  • Discount rate: 3.75%, what banks pay for emergency overnight borrowing from the Federal Reserve
  • Outlook: Markets price ~86% odds of a hold at the April FOMC meeting; the first likely cut is June (~40%)

Federal Reserve Policy Rates

The Federal Reserve sets three benchmark rates that cascade through the entire U.S. financial system. Every consumer loan, savings account, and bond yield traces back to these policy decisions. The Federal Open Market Committee meets eight times per year to review economic data and determine whether to raise, lower, or hold these rates steady.

RateCurrentEffective DateWhat It Does
Fed Funds Target (Upper)3.75%Dec 11, 2025Top of the range banks charge each other overnight
Fed Funds Target (Lower)3.50%Dec 11, 2025Bottom of the range; floor for overnight lending
Effective Federal Funds Rate3.64%April 1, 2026Actual volume-weighted average of overnight trades
Discount Rate (Primary Credit)3.75%Dec 11, 2025Emergency borrowing rate from the Fed’s discount window
Bank Prime Loan Rate6.75%Dec 11, 2025Base rate for consumer loans = fed funds upper + 3.00%

The relationship between these rates is mechanical: the prime rate always equals the federal funds target upper bound plus 3.00 percentage points. This spread has held since 1994. When the FOMC cuts or raises the fed funds rate, banks adjust prime by the same amount within one business day. The discount rate typically equals the fed funds target upper bound and serves as a penalty rate for banks that need emergency liquidity. For a deeper explanation of these relationships, see our guide to prime rate vs other rates.

Financial analyst reviewing interest rate charts and treasury yield curve on tablet

Treasury Yields Across the Curve

Treasury securities are the backbone of the U.S. bond market. Their yields serve as benchmarks for mortgage rates, corporate bonds, and savings products. The Treasury yield curve shows what the government pays to borrow for different time periods, from 4 weeks to 30 years. All data below comes from the Federal Reserve’s H.15 Statistical Release.

MaturityYield1 Week AgoChangeWhat It Benchmarks
1-Month T-Bill3.73%3.73%Money market funds
3-Month T-Bill3.73%3.74%↓ 0.01%Short-term CD rates
6-Month T-Bill3.76%3.77%↓ 0.01%6-month CD rates
1-Year Treasury3.77%3.76%↑ 0.01%1-year CD and savings rates
2-Year Treasury3.84%3.83%↑ 0.01%Auto loans, personal loans
5-Year Treasury3.88%3.95%↑ 0.01%5/1 ARM rates, 5-year CDs
7-Year Treasury4.15%4.15%Corporate bond yields
10-Year Treasury4.44%4.34%↓ 0.01%30-year fixed mortgage rates
20-Year Treasury4.90%4.98%↓ 0.03%Long-term corporate bonds
30-Year Treasury4.89%4.91%↓ 0.02%Long-term fixed-rate mortgages

The yield curve shape tells you a lot about where the market expects the economy to go. Right now, short-term yields (3.73%–3.77%) are lower than long-term yields (4.33%–4.89%), meaning the curve has a normal upward slope. This is a healthy signal: investors demand higher compensation for locking money up longer. Compare this with mid-2023 when the curve was deeply inverted (short-term rates exceeded long-term rates), which historically signals recession. For consumers, the 10-year Treasury is the single most important rate to watch because it directly influences mortgage rates.

💡 Pro Tip:

Treasury yields and the prime rate move for different reasons. The prime rate is mechanically tied to the Fed’s target rate and only changes when the FOMC acts. Treasury yields trade freely in the bond market every day, responding to inflation expectations, economic data, and global demand for safe assets. That is why the 10-year yield can rise even when the Fed is cutting rates—exactly what happened through late 2024 and early 2025.

Overnight and Short-Term Rates

Overnight rates determine the cost of short-term money in the financial system. They directly affect high-yield savings account APYs, money market fund yields, and the variable rates on credit cards and HELOCs. The two most important benchmarks are the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which replaced LIBOR in 2023, and the effective federal funds rate.

RateCurrentDescription
SOFR3.64%Secured overnight rate; benchmark for ARMs and business loans since LIBOR sunset
Effective Fed Funds3.64%Actual rate banks charge each other for unsecured overnight loans
1-Month Commercial Paper3.70%Short-term corporate borrowing rate
3-Month Commercial Paper3.65%Quarterly corporate funding cost
4-Week T-Bill3.63%Ultra-short government security; closest proxy for cash rates
3-Month T-Bill3.63%Most traded short-term government security

SOFR deserves special attention because it replaced LIBOR as the standard benchmark for adjustable-rate mortgages, student loans, and business credit lines. SOFR is calculated daily by the New York Federal Reserve based on overnight Treasury repurchase transactions. At 3.64%, SOFR currently trades very close to the effective federal funds rate, which is typical when credit markets are functioning normally. If you have an ARM or variable-rate business loan originated after mid-2023, your rate likely resets based on SOFR rather than the old LIBOR benchmark.

How These Rates Affect Consumer Products

Each interest rate on this page connects to specific financial products you use every day. The prime rate is the most direct link between Fed policy and your wallet, but Treasury yields matter too because they set the pricing for fixed-rate products like mortgages and auto loans. Here is how the current rate environment translates into the rates you actually pay or earn.

ProductTypical RateBenchmarkHow It’s Set
Credit Cards18.75%–29.75%Prime (6.75%)Prime + 12%–23% fixed margin
HELOCs7.25%–8.75%Prime (6.75%)Prime + 0.5%–2.0% margin
SBA 7(a) Loans9.00%–11.50%Prime (6.75%)Prime + 2.25%–4.75% per SBA caps
30-Year Fixed Mortgage6.34%–6.50%10-Yr Treasury (4.33%)10-year yield + 1.7%–2.2% spread
15-Year Fixed Mortgage5.50%–5.80%5-Yr Treasury (4.06%)5-year yield + 1.5%–1.8% spread
High-Yield Savings4.00%–5.00% APYFed Funds (3.50%–3.75%)Online banks pay above fed funds to attract deposits
1-Year CD4.00%–4.10% APY1-Yr Treasury (3.77%)Tracks 1-year T-bill with 20–35 bps premium
Personal Loans8.5%–36%2-Yr Treasury (3.84%)Fixed rate set at origination; credit score drives spread

💡 Pro Tip:

Variable-rate products (credit cards, HELOCs, SBA loans) are directly tied to the prime rate and adjust automatically when the Fed moves. Fixed-rate products (mortgages, personal loans, CDs) are priced off Treasury yields and lock in when you originate. If you think rates are heading lower, a variable-rate product lets you benefit from future cuts. If you want certainty, lock a fixed rate now. Use our Variable vs Fixed Rate Calculator to model both scenarios.

Historical Rate Comparison

Putting today’s rates in historical context helps you decide whether to act now or wait. The table below compares current rates against key inflection points from the recent rate cycle, using data from FRED and the U.S. Treasury.

U.S. Prime Rate: 2000–2026

Source: Federal Reserve H.15 Release. Gray bands indicate U.S. recessions (NBER).

RatePre-COVID (Jan 2020)COVID Low (Apr 2020)Peak (Jul 2023)Today (Mar 2026)
Fed Funds (Upper)1.75%0.25%5.50%3.75%
Prime Rate4.75%3.25%8.50%6.75%
10-Year Treasury1.88%0.62%3.88%4.44%
30-Year Treasury2.33%1.27%4.03%4.89%
30-Yr Mortgage3.72%3.23%6.81%6.37%

The pattern is clear: despite five rate cuts totaling 1.75% since September 2024, rates remain well above pre-pandemic levels. The fed funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% is double the pre-COVID level. Long-term Treasury yields are significantly higher than they were even at the peak of the 2023 hiking cycle, reflecting persistent inflation expectations and larger government deficits. For borrowers, this means today’s rates are favorable compared to the 2023 peak but still elevated by historical standards. For savers, yields on risk-free instruments remain the best in over 15 years.

What Are Current U.S. Interest Rates?

As of April 1, 2026, the key U.S. interest rates are: the federal funds rate target at 3.50%–3.75%, the prime rate at 6.75%, the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.33%, and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaging 6.37%. These rates reflect the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold its benchmark rate steady since January 2026 after five cuts totaling 1.75 percentage points between September 2024 and December 2025. The effective federal funds rate — the actual overnight rate banks charge each other — is 3.64%, and SOFR (the replacement for LIBOR) tracks closely at 3.64%.

For consumers, the most directly relevant rates are: the prime rate (drives credit cards, HELOCs, and SBA loans), the 10-year Treasury yield (drives fixed mortgage rates), and high-yield savings/CD rates (currently 4.20%–4.55% APY at the best online banks). All of these rates are interconnected — the Fed’s policy rate sets the floor, Treasury yields set the benchmark for fixed-rate products, and bank competition determines deposit rates. See the policy rates table and consumer product impact section above for the full breakdown.

Where Are U.S. Interest Rates Headed in 2026?

The FOMC’s March 2026 dot plot projects one more 25-basis-point rate cut this year, which would bring the fed funds rate to 3.25%–3.50% and the prime rate to 6.50%. Futures markets are slightly more aggressive, pricing in up to two cuts — most likely at the June and September FOMC meetings. The Fed’s next meeting on May 6–7 is expected to be a hold, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing roughly 85% probability of no change.

The key variable is inflation. Core PCE remains at roughly 2.6%–2.8%, above the Fed’s 2% target, and geopolitical risks (particularly Middle East tensions affecting energy prices) add uncertainty. If inflation drops below 2.5% by mid-year, two cuts become likely and borrowers can expect lower variable rates by Q3. If inflation stays sticky, the Fed may deliver only one cut or hold for the remainder of 2026. For the Treasury yield curve, the market consensus points to the 10-year settling between 4.0%–4.4% — meaning fixed mortgage rates are unlikely to drop below 6.0% this year. Savers should expect high-yield savings and CD rates to drift 25–50 basis points lower by year-end as the Fed eases.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the federal funds rate today?

The federal funds target range is 3.50%–3.75% as of March 2026. The effective federal funds rate (the actual rate banks traded at) was 3.64% on April 1, 2026. This rate was set at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting and has been held steady since. The Fed sets this rate to influence borrowing costs throughout the economy.

How does the federal funds rate affect the prime rate?

The prime rate equals the federal funds target upper bound plus 3.00 percentage points. With the upper bound at 3.75%, the prime rate is 6.75%. This relationship has held since 1994. When the FOMC raises or lowers the fed funds rate, banks adjust the prime rate by the same amount within one business day. Products tied to prime (credit cards, HELOCs, SBA loans) then adjust automatically.

Why are Treasury yields important for consumers?

Treasury yields set the benchmark for fixed-rate borrowing. The 10-year Treasury yield (4.33%) is the primary driver of 30-year fixed mortgage rates, which typically run 1.7%–2.2% above the 10-year. Shorter-term Treasury yields influence CD rates, auto loan rates, and personal loan pricing. When Treasury yields rise, fixed-rate borrowing gets more expensive even if the Fed has not raised its policy rate.

What is SOFR and why does it matter?

SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) is the benchmark that replaced LIBOR in June 2023. Currently at 3.64%, SOFR is calculated daily by the New York Federal Reserve based on $1+ trillion in daily Treasury repo transactions. If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage, student loan, or business credit line originated after mid-2023, your rate likely resets based on SOFR plus a fixed margin.

Where can I find official U.S. interest rate data?

The most authoritative source is the Federal Reserve’s H.15 Statistical Release, updated daily with rates for the federal funds, prime, discount window, Treasuries, and commercial paper. The U.S. Treasury yield curve data provides constant maturity rates. FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) from the St. Louis Fed offers historical data and charts for every rate on this page.

When will U.S. interest rates change next?

The next FOMC meeting is May 6–7, 2026. The CME FedWatch tool shows roughly 85% probability of a hold at that meeting. The first meeting where a rate cut is meaningfully priced in is June 16–17, 2026 (~55% probability). The Fed’s updated dot plot from March 2026 projects one 25-basis-point cut this year, though actual decisions depend on incoming inflation and employment data. See our FOMC meeting schedule page for real-time probability updates.

Related Resources

References

Advertiser Disclosure: PrimeRates.com may receive compensation from lenders when you click through and complete an application. This does not affect our editorial objectivity or rankings. Financial Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Interest rates shown are sourced from the Federal Reserve H.15 Statistical Release and may change daily. Consult a licensed financial professional before making borrowing or investment decisions.

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