June Fed Minutes Show a Split on Rates as Some Officials Weighed a Hike

The June FOMC minutes reveal a Fed split between holding and hiking, with a few officials making a case for higher rates as inflation holds near 4 percent.

The June FOMC minutes reveal a Fed split between holding and hiking, with a few officials making a case for higher rates as inflation holds near 4 percent.

Eight meetings a year, twelve votes, one 2 p.m. statement. Here is how an FOMC meeting actually works and what the July 28-29 session could mean for your rates.

The U.S. added just 57,000 jobs in June as unemployment held at 4.2%. Revisions erased 74,000 from spring payrolls, cooling talk of a 2026 Fed rate hike ahead of the July FOMC.

The U.S. prime rate is 6.75 percent in 2026, the same as in 1971. Here is how it peaked at 21.5 percent in 1980, fell to 3.25 percent twice, and what it means for your loans.

Long-run inflation expectations fell to 3.3% in June while year-ahead expectations eased to 4.6%, a modest relief for the Fed's hawkish hold at 6.75% prime.

The U.S. Treasury sold $69 billion of two-year notes on June 23 at a 4.189% high yield, the highest stop since January 2025, with a 2.64 bid-to-cover and strong demand.

The Fed held rates at 3.50 to 3.75 percent on June 17, 2026, but its new dot plot flipped toward a 2026 hike at Kevin Warsh's first meeting. Prime stays 6.75 percent.

The U.S. debt ceiling caps how much the Treasury can borrow to pay bills Congress already approved. Here is how the $41.1 trillion limit works and when it binds next.

Treasury's $22 billion 30-year auction stopped at 5.02% on June 11, the first back-to-back 5% sales since 2007, days before the June 16-17 Fed meeting.

The U.S. prime rate is 6.75%, but the Fed does not set it. Here is how banks derive prime from the federal funds rate and what it means for your loans.