July Payrolls Fall 23,000, Cooling the Case for a September Fed Hike
U.S. employers cut 23,000 jobs in July and revisions erased 103,000 more from May and June, pushing September Fed hold odds to about 60 percent. Prime holds at 6.75 percent.
Shelly Warding
Shelly Warding is a rising personal finance expert who strives to help consumers improve their finances by making money easy to understand.
Core PCE Cools to 3.3% in June, but the Fed Holds Prime at 6.75%
June core PCE inflation eased to 3.3 percent, its first cooling in months, but a divided Fed that held rates on July 29 keeps the prime rate at 6.75 percent.
Fed’s Two-Day Meeting Opens Tuesday With Rate-Hike Odds Near 34%
The Fed opens its two-day July meeting Tuesday with a rate hike a live possibility. Futures put hike odds near 34% as oil above $100 revives inflation fears.
Oil Above $100 Drives Treasury Yields to 2025 Highs, Lifting Fed Hike Bets
Brent crude topped $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest since January 2025, lifting September Fed rate-hike odds to about 82% as prime holds at 6.75%.
The 10-Year Treasury Yield at 4.55%: Why It Anchors Mortgages and Markets
The 10-year Treasury yield settled at 4.55% on July 17, 2026. Here is what the benchmark is, what moves it, and how it sets your mortgage and loan rates.
National Debt Crosses $39.5 Trillion, Adding $510 Billion in 59 Days
The U.S. national debt closed above $39.5 trillion for the first time on July 16, 2026, finishing at $39.519 trillion after adding $510 billion in 59 days.
June CPI Falls 0.4%, the First Monthly Price Drop Since April 2020
June CPI fell 0.4%, the first monthly price decline since April 2020, cutting inflation to 3.5% and hardening the case for a Fed hold on July 28-29.
Warsh’s First Fed Report Vows Price Stability, Revives Money Supply at 4.7%
The Fed's first Monetary Policy Report under Chair Kevin Warsh vows to deliver price stability, revives a money supply section, and sets up his July testimony.
June Fed Minutes Show a Split on Rates as Some Officials Weighed a Hike
The June FOMC minutes reveal a Fed split between holding and hiking, with a few officials making a case for higher rates as inflation holds near 4 percent.
Inside an FOMC Meeting: How 19 Policymakers Set Rates Over 48 Hours
Eight meetings a year, twelve votes, one 2 p.m. statement. Here is how an FOMC meeting actually works and what the July 28-29 session could mean for your rates.