Direct Bidders Take a Record 41% of Treasury’s $69 Billion 2-Year Note

Direct bidders took 41.32% of Treasury's $69 billion 2-year note auction on October 26, a four-year record for the maturity, as indirect bidders fell to 45.68%.

Direct bidders took 41.32% of Treasury's $69 billion 2-year note auction on October 26, a four-year record for the maturity, as indirect bidders fell to 45.68%.

Treasury sold $26 billion of five-year TIPS on October 22 at a 2.367% high real yield, the highest for the maturity since October 2023, on a 2.41 bid-to-cover.

The one-year Treasury yield reached 4.50% on October 19, a full 50 basis points above the Fed's 4.00% ceiling, pricing two more hikes before the October 28 FOMC vote.

Federal debt held by the public reached $32.538 trillion on October 15, the first reading above $32.5 trillion on record, after $391 billion of Treasury auctions settled that day.

Treasury bills ended fiscal 2026 at $7.118 trillion, or 22.36% of marketable federal debt, the largest fiscal year end share since 2020. Bills grew $721.1 billion over the year.

Treasury's blended rate on all interest bearing federal debt reached 3.531% on September 30, the highest since April 2009, while new 30-year bonds cleared 5.618%.

Core PCE inflation held at 3.0% in August while consumer spending jumped 0.9% and the saving rate fell to 4.1%, leaving the Fed a split signal before the October FOMC meeting.

Treasury raised four bill auction sizes on September 24 and will sell $316 billion on Monday and Tuesday, $18 billion more than the same four tenors raised at their most recent sales.

Treasury sold $70 billion of five-year notes at a 5.033% high yield on September 23, the highest since June 2006, with the weakest bid-to-cover since December 2018.

Treasury sold 13-week bills at 3.970 percent and 26-week bills at 4.060 percent on September 14, a 17 basis point weekly jump, as the FOMC opened its two-day September meeting.