July Deficit Hits Record $432 Billion, Pushing Fiscal 2026 Past All of 2025

The federal government ran a record $432.3 billion deficit in July 2026, pushing the fiscal 2026 shortfall past $1.799 trillion, more than all of fiscal 2025 combined.

The federal government ran a record $432.3 billion deficit in July 2026, pushing the fiscal 2026 shortfall past $1.799 trillion, more than all of fiscal 2025 combined.

Consumer prices rose 0.1 percent in July and 3.4 percent over 12 months. Core inflation slowed to 2.5 percent, its softest annual reading of the past year.

Treasury data through July 31 shows the federal government paid $1.170 trillion to service the national debt in fiscal 2026, up 15 percent with two months left.

The Fed held $524.9 billion of Treasury bills on August 5, up $329.4 billion since balance sheet runoff ended, while reserve balances stalled near $3 trillion.

U.S. public debt reached $39.84 trillion on July 30, 2026, just $158.9 billion below $40 trillion, as the average interest rate on the debt climbed to 3.41 percent.

Treasury sold $70 billion of five-year notes on July 27 at a 4.408% high yield with a 2.28 bid-to-cover, the weakest of three note sales this week as the Fed meets.

Treasury's 20-year bond auction stopped at 5.163% on July 22, 2026, the highest of the year and up from 4.927% in June, days before the July 29 Fed decision.

Most U.S. credit cards carry a variable APR tied to the 6.75% prime rate. Here is how a Fed decision reaches your statement and what a July 29 hold means.

The two-year Treasury yield fell to 4.13% after June CPI and PPI cooled, trimming the odds of a July Fed rate hike. Here is what lower yields mean for your money.

The Fed's dual mandate requires both maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. With core PCE at 3.4 percent and unemployment at 4.2 percent, the two goals now clash.