Treasury 20-Year Bond Auction Clears 4.927% as Indirect Demand Hits 71%

Treasury sold $13 billion of 20-year bonds at a 4.927% high yield on June 16, drawing a 2.75 bid-to-cover and 71.2% indirect demand, the strongest 20-year sale since January.

Treasury sold $13 billion of 20-year bonds at a 4.927% high yield on June 16, drawing a 2.75 bid-to-cover and 71.2% indirect demand, the strongest 20-year sale since January.

The FOMC is expected to hold rates at 3.50% to 3.75% and the prime rate at 6.75% on June 17, with the new dot plot and a hot May inflation print the real story.

May CPI rose 0.5% for the month and 4.2% over the year, the first 4% reading since 2023. Core held at 2.9% as the Fed heads into its June 16-17 meeting.

The average rate on U.S. interest-bearing debt rose to 3.353% in May, the highest since October 2025, as low-coupon debt refinances into higher market yields.

U.S. public debt crossed $39 trillion in May 2026. With new Treasury issues yielding above 4.4% and the average rate at 3.34%, CBO projects net interest above $1 trillion this year.

The Department of Justice closed its investigation into the Federal Reserve’s Eccles Building renovations last week, removing the procedural obstacle that Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) had cited as the basis for blocking Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair from…

Markets price a 99.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates at 3.50%–3.75% on April 29, 2026 — meaning for most household financial decisions, your numbers don’t change on Wednesday afternoon. Specifically: the prime rate stays at 6.75%, your…

Update — April 22, 2026: Kevin Warsh’s confirmation hearing took place April 21, 2026 (the day this article was first published). His Senate confirmation is now uncertain — Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has vowed to block the nomination from leaving…

A high-yield savings account (HYSA) and a certificate of deposit (CD) both pay materially more than a traditional bank savings account, but they protect against different risks. An HYSA pays a variable rate that can change at any time —…

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