Warsh Sets Seven 2027 Rate Votes and Six in 2028, Down From Eight

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the FOMC will hold seven interest rate votes in 2027 and six in 2028, down from eight. Prime stays at 7.00 percent and December 8 to 9 is unaffected.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the FOMC will hold seven interest rate votes in 2027 and six in 2028, down from eight. Prime stays at 7.00 percent and December 8 to 9 is unaffected.

Treasury updates its $628 billion October through December borrowing estimate Monday at 3 p.m. Eastern, with the quarterly refunding statement due Wednesday morning.

Federal debt rose $421.8 billion in October 2026 to $40.593 trillion, the largest monthly increase since July 2025. Here is what it means for prime and mortgage rates.

Core PCE inflation rose to 3.1% over the 12 months through September 2026, the BEA reported October 29, one day after the Fed held the prime rate at 7.00% on a 10 to 2 vote.

Bank reserves fell $68.8 billion to $2.894 trillion in the week ended October 28, the lowest since December 2025, as SOFR closed above the Fed's 3.90% floor for a fourth straight session.

The Federal Open Market Committee held its target range at 3.75% to 4.00% on October 28, 2026, keeping the prime rate at 7.00%. Cook and Hammack dissented for a quarter point hike.

Treasury's Debt to the Penny series recorded $40,528,358,939,415.85 on October 26, 2026, the first reading above $40.5 trillion, after a $65.21 billion one day rise.

Direct bidders took 41.32% of Treasury's $69 billion 2-year note auction on October 26, a four-year record for the maturity, as indirect bidders fell to 45.68%.

The Fed opens a two-day meeting Tuesday. 94 of 100 economists surveyed by Reuters expect a hold at 3.75% to 4.00%, keeping the prime rate at 7.00% into December.

Treasury will auction $213 billion of 2-year, 5-year, 7-year and floating rate notes across the four days surrounding the Fed's October 28 decision, all settling November 2.